Aviva Plc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:454,857,313.01% (0.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2220 | 12,219,750.00 | |
| 0.0999 | 999,150.00 | |
| 0.7789 | 7,789,450.00 | |
| 1.3486 | 13,486,430.00 | |
| -2.5384 | -25,383,730.00 | |
| 5.5247 | 55,247,010.00 | |
| -68.8811 | -688,810,600.00 | |
| 111.3757 | 1,113,757,000.00 | |
| 9.7270 | 97,270,030.00 | |
| -58.9586 | -589,585,800.00 | |
| -44.1617 | -441,617,400.00 | |
| 53.3347 | 533,346,600.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 14, 2000 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 14, 2000 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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