Financiere Moncey Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:39.80% (+0.25%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6078 | 5.21 | |
| 0.1622 | 6.12 | |
| 0.2773 | 3.03 | |
| -0.0288 | -0.14 | |
| -0.1379 | -0.41 | |
| 0.2204 | 0.89 | |
| 0.0646 | 0.35 | |
| -0.2344 | -1.34 | |
| 0.1753 | 1.00 | |
| -0.1972 | -1.31 | |
| 0.0981 | 0.62 | |
| 0.3117 | 1.71 | |
| -0.4074 | -2.41 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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