First HoldCo Plc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:89.52% (-2.46%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9785 | 4.65 | |
| 0.2114 | 7.18 | |
| 0.7054 | 20.70 | |
| -0.0914 | -0.79 | |
| 0.1748 | 1.03 | |
| -0.1085 | -1.01 | |
| -0.0493 | -0.49 | |
| 0.2051 | 2.19 | |
| -0.2000 | -3.01 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 8, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 8, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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