FirstEnergy Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
7.82%
decreased by 15.45%
1 Week
340,316,054.28%
increased by 340,316,031.01%
1 Month
14,871,671,056,071,677,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 14,871,671,056,071,677,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0206 | 205,990.00 | |
| -0.0412 | -411,770.00 | |
| 1.5557 | 15,557,130.00 | |
| 0.1201 | 1,201,180.00 | |
| 0.0225 | 225,240.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
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