Natural Gas & Mining Project Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 8th, 2026:26.60% (-1.95%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4157 | 5.88 | |
| 0.1889 | 6.95 | |
| 0.6664 | 14.58 | |
| 0.1836 | 2.98 | |
| -0.2799 | -2.91 | |
| 0.2260 | 3.60 | |
| -0.2297 | -3.87 | |
| 0.1164 | 2.29 | |
| -0.0049 | -0.17 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 13, 1999 to Feb 5, 2026
Jan 13, 1999 to Feb 5, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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