V-Lab
Dow Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
40.61%
increased by 2.33%
1 Week
38.67%
increased by 0.39%
1 Month
37.59%
decreased by 0.69%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 20, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 205% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0259 | 2.33** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6061 | 11.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0531 | 2.22** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4441 | 0.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7722 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1095 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.659
Half-life:
2 days
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