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V-Lab

Dow Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

40.61%

increased by 2.33%

1 Week

38.67%

increased by 0.39%

1 Month

37.59%

decreased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Dow Inc. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 20, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 205% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0259
2.33**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6061
11.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0531
2.22**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4441
0.16
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7722
0.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1095
0.02

Persistence:

0.659

Half-life:

2 days