Defence Hub SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:75.39% (+2.16%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7631 | 2.18 | |
| 0.1106 | 3.75 | |
| 0.8051 | 16.30 | |
| -2.8178 | -2.07 | |
| 5.1974 | 2.78 | |
| -4.1001 | -3.93 | |
| 2.2927 | 2.61 | |
| -0.0539 | -0.07 | |
| -0.9745 | -1.65 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 17, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 17, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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