Celik Halat Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:51.47% (-3.38%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8777 | 5.43 | |
| 0.1426 | 8.08 | |
| 0.7478 | 24.08 | |
| 0.1335 | 3.58 | |
| -0.2158 | -4.00 | |
| 0.1703 | 4.33 | |
| -0.1634 | -4.02 | |
| 0.1519 | 3.78 | |
| -0.1137 | -2.45 | |
| 0.0466 | 1.02 | |
| -0.0154 | -0.52 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 25, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 25, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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