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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.6908	8.35
$α$	0.1143	9.45
$β$	0.8293	38.66
$γ_{1}$	-0.0006	-3.32

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Bellway PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:37.92% (-2.15%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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