Sierra Bancorp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:33.71% (-1.39%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9420 | 4.05 | |
| 0.1386 | 8.40 | |
| 0.8130 | 41.05 | |
| -0.1309 | -1.37 | |
| 0.0670 | 0.49 | |
| 0.2964 | 2.97 | |
| -0.4825 | -4.34 | |
| 0.3632 | 3.28 | |
| -0.1202 | -1.41 | |
| 0.0016 | 0.02 | |
| 0.0606 | 0.83 | |
| -0.1033 | -1.73 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 20, 1996 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 20, 1996 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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