V-Lab
Bladex Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
24.89%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
25.69%
increased by 0.47%
1 Month
28.19%
increased by 2.97%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 127% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1492 | 19.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0657 | 23.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8654 | 257.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0832 | 10.72*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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