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V-Lab

Bank of America Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

22.15%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Week

22.48%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Month

23.45%

increased by 0.68%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bank of America Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 289% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0346
16.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8717
227.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1002
26.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0085
8.25***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0213
4.65***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9763
192.99***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days