V-Lab
Bank of America Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
22.15%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Week
22.48%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Month
23.45%
increased by 0.68%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 289% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0346 | 16.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8717 | 227.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1002 | 26.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0085 | 8.25*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0213 | 4.65*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9763 | 192.99*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
16 days
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