Australian Strategic Matl Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:161.38% (+1.78%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9702 | 4.22 | |
| 0.1638 | 3.39 | |
| 0.4859 | 3.66 | |
| 4.2853 | 1.55 | |
| -3.7393 | -0.87 | |
| -1.6544 | -0.65 | |
| 2.1356 | 1.12 | |
| -2.1527 | -1.10 | |
| 2.6085 | 1.39 | |
| -4.0250 | -1.72 | |
| 6.9932 | 2.41 | |
| -7.1665 | -2.92 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 30, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 30, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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