Arafura Rare Earths Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:69.99% (+3.70%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0900 | 10.96 | |
| 0.1434 | 7.43 | |
| 0.6996 | 16.20 | |
| -0.0118 | -1.66 | |
| 0.0229 | 2.14 | |
| -0.0152 | -2.51 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 5, 2003 to Feb 13, 2026
Nov 5, 2003 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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