Tractial SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:105.44% (-1.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8527 | 2.89 | |
| 0.1124 | 5.42 | |
| 0.8105 | 20.26 | |
| -0.5235 | -2.03 | |
| 0.7855 | 2.31 | |
| -0.3709 | -2.29 | |
| 0.2147 | 1.13 | |
| -0.1317 | -0.73 | |
| 0.0026 | 0.02 | |
| -0.0264 | -0.15 | |
| 0.0186 | 0.09 | |
| 0.1974 | 0.81 | |
| -0.2596 | -1.35 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 21, 2000 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 21, 2000 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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