Aiful Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:35.19% (+6.97%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4366 | 6.93 | |
| 0.1503 | 6.95 | |
| 0.6885 | 17.86 | |
| -0.2172 | -3.96 | |
| 0.2985 | 3.70 | |
| -0.0820 | -1.68 | |
| -0.0421 | -0.71 | |
| 0.0032 | 0.05 | |
| 0.1072 | 1.95 | |
| -0.0899 | -1.74 | |
| 0.0320 | 0.71 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 6, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
Aug 6, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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