Shinkin Central Bank Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:15.02% (-4.48%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5346 | 2.84 | |
| 0.4385 | 10.01 | |
| 0.5543 | 13.25 | |
| -0.0769 | -0.25 | |
| 0.0300 | 0.07 | |
| 0.3785 | 1.49 | |
| -0.8225 | -3.37 | |
| 0.7374 | 3.16 | |
| -0.2826 | -1.22 | |
| 0.0478 | 0.21 | |
| -0.0407 | -0.24 | |
| 0.1832 | 1.59 | |
| -0.2694 | -2.63 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 22, 2000 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 22, 2000 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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