Aozora Bank Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:37.50% (-0.53%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6982 | 4.46 | |
| 0.1415 | 6.06 | |
| 0.7780 | 19.22 | |
| -0.3175 | -2.69 | |
| 0.2884 | 1.77 | |
| 0.0787 | 0.89 | |
| 0.0340 | 0.32 | |
| -0.1707 | -1.32 | |
| 0.1745 | 1.63 | |
| -0.1406 | -2.30 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 14, 2006 to Feb 13, 2026
Nov 14, 2006 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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