Aoyama Trading Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:29.58% (+7.25%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2552 | 2.07 | |
| 0.1884 | 7.48 | |
| 0.6401 | 17.58 | |
| 0.0070 | 0.05 | |
| 0.0111 | 0.06 | |
| -0.0551 | -0.73 | |
| 0.0555 | 1.26 | |
| -0.0192 | -0.53 | |
| -0.0008 | -0.02 | |
| -0.0409 | -0.88 | |
| 0.1742 | 3.60 | |
| -0.2670 | -6.08 | |
| 0.1849 | 5.13 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 11, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 11, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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