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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.2760	5.61
$α$	0.1191	6.02
$β$	0.7086	17.49
$γ_{1}$	0.1068	1.62
$γ_{2}$	-0.1580	-1.67
$γ_{3}$	0.0004	0.01
$γ_{4}$	0.1691	3.39
$γ_{5}$	-0.2609	-4.19
$γ_{6}$	0.2960	4.68
$γ_{7}$	-0.2344	-4.36
$γ_{8}$	0.0663	1.21
$γ_{9}$	0.0497	0.93
$γ_{10}$	-0.0445	-1.10

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Aval Data Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:50.90% (+11.67%)

Date Range:

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News Impact Curve

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