Hongta Securities Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:18.85% (+0.09%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1129 | 3.71 | |
| 0.1364 | 3.63 | |
| 0.6960 | 9.09 | |
| -2.1468 | -1.46 | |
| 2.5633 | 1.21 | |
| 0.7405 | 0.45 | |
| -2.5378 | -1.41 | |
| 1.2646 | 0.71 | |
| 2.1106 | 1.24 | |
| -4.1916 | -2.81 | |
| 3.1175 | 3.52 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 5, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 5, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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