Expert AI S P A Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:77.41% (+8.67%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8518 | 2.80 | |
| 0.2659 | 3.64 | |
| 0.1254 | 1.27 | |
| 0.5436 | 0.18 | |
| -1.6746 | -0.37 | |
| 1.9185 | 0.83 | |
| 0.9633 | 0.49 | |
| -4.8814 | -1.93 | |
| 5.6592 | 2.24 | |
| -5.8737 | -2.63 | |
| 7.1794 | 3.84 | |
| -5.4532 | -5.07 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 27, 2019 to Feb 13, 2026
Sep 27, 2019 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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