Matsukiyococokara & Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:29.33% (-0.68%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5757 | 6.20 | |
| 0.1050 | 5.73 | |
| 0.7769 | 23.28 | |
| 0.2022 | 3.49 | |
| -0.2712 | -2.92 | |
| 0.0034 | 0.04 | |
| 0.1846 | 3.39 | |
| -0.2482 | -5.01 | |
| 0.2837 | 5.35 | |
| -0.2390 | -3.70 | |
| 0.0828 | 0.79 | |
| 0.0067 | 0.06 | |
| -0.0002 | -0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 8, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
Aug 8, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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