Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:55.17% (+5.02%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8392 | 4.87 | |
| 0.1121 | 3.00 | |
| 0.7666 | 9.92 | |
| -0.0239 | -0.05 | |
| -0.5396 | -0.79 | |
| 1.2923 | 3.33 | |
| -1.0465 | -3.84 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 27, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 27, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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