Elmera Group Asa Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:20.30% (0.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9823 | 2.18 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.9339 | 2.21 | |
| -0.5011 | -0.17 | |
| 2.1346 | 0.52 | |
| -1.8817 | -0.58 | |
| -1.8005 | -0.49 | |
| 2.9426 | 0.97 | |
| -1.7453 | -0.81 | |
| 4.0728 | 1.78 | |
| -7.4243 | -2.30 | |
| 6.2726 | 2.27 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 7, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 7, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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