Aubay Sa Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:46.25% (-1.63%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2294 | 3.44 | |
| 0.0715 | 1.70 | |
| 0.7577 | 6.39 | |
| 4.1082 | 2.17 | |
| -5.3551 | -1.77 | |
| 2.7714 | 1.36 | |
| -3.4886 | -2.34 | |
| 3.5702 | 2.24 | |
| -3.2582 | -2.37 | |
| 3.2926 | 2.94 | |
| -2.9047 | -2.54 | |
| 2.8960 | 2.18 | |
| -2.6121 | -2.44 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 12, 2009 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 12, 2009 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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