{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	86
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2592	0.14
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7998	29.66***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.2592	-0.07
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.16
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0205	0.16
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9773	53.25***

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Southern Fertilizers JSC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Liquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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