Pak-Qatar General Takaful Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
3,824.68
1 Week
4,717.20
1 Month
2,190.20
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 129% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3887 | 20.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 11.37*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7936 | 11.07*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.639
Half-life:
2 days
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