Manba Finance Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
716.24
1 Week
798.24
1 Month
859.88
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1458 | 3.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8226 | 40.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1458 | -2.58*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9961 | 384.01*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
Other Manba Finance Limited Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities