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Shift4 Payments Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

581.61

decreased by 3.03

1 Week

555.43

decreased by 29.21

1 Month

427.10

decreased by 157.54

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shift4 Payments Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 5, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 185 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 269% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0671
3.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0265
6.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9342
407.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0712
9.32***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

185 days