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CRA International Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

758.69

increased by 66.17

1 Week

739.55

increased by 47.03

1 Month

784.18

increased by 91.66

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CRA International Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 192% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.55
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0336
10.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9341
464.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0646
7.98***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-