V-Lab
Contact Financial Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
1,382.32
1 Week
1,418.56
1 Month
1,620.40
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 15, 2018 to Jul 22, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0437 | 3.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9455 | 205.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0437 | -1.87* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9976 | 316.60*** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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