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Contact Financial Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

1,382.32

decreased by 30.56

1 Week

1,418.56

increased by 5.68

1 Month

1,620.40

increased by 207.52

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Contact Financial Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2018 to Jul 22, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0437
3.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9455
205.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0437
-1.87*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9976
316.60***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days