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Contact Financial Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026

1 Day

1,135.33

decreased by 3.60

1 Week

1,162.46

increased by 23.53

1 Month

1,256.20

increased by 117.27

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Contact Financial Holding ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 15, 2018 to Aug 13, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0433
3.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9467
213.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0433
-1.74*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9975
274.95***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days