Skip to main content
V-Lab

Americanas S A ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

4,111.74

decreased by 209.06

1 Week

4,433.81

increased by 113.01

1 Month

4,409.42

increased by 88.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Americanas S A ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 9, 2005 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1170
1.75*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8255
174.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0165
-0.12
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.3101
4.78***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2665
26.95***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7335
4.84***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days