V-Lab
M3 Technology Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
1,193.64
1 Week
1,143.65
1 Month
778.52
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 27, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1947 | 3.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8178 | 56.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1947 | -17.99*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.7166 | 8.61*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7479 | 22.84*** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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