V-Lab
M3 Technology Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
1,050.56
increased by 2.80
1 Week
1,204.11
increased by 156.35
1 Month
1,012.76
decreased by 35.00
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 27, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 465 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4421 | 3.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0825 | 9.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8388 | 127.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1545 | 13.88*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
465 days
Other M3 Technology Inc Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities