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M3 Technology Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

1,050.56

increased by 2.80

1 Week

1,204.11

increased by 156.35

1 Month

1,012.76

decreased by 35.00

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of M3 Technology Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 27, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 465 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4421
3.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0825
9.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8388
127.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1545
13.88***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

465 days