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M3 Technology Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

932.41

decreased by 81.83

1 Week

1,063.22

increased by 48.98

1 Month

774.74

decreased by 239.50

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of M3 Technology Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 27, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 513 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 186% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4484
3.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0832
9.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8379
125.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1551
13.69***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

513 days