Gmo Media Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
8,571.61
1 Week
5,742.37
1 Month
2,987.54
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:50 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2015 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1574 | 0.30 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8576 | 112.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1574 | -0.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.7183 | 0.47 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9761 | 24.17*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
11 days
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