V-Lab
Nippon Shindo Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,424.02
1 Week
3,621.53
1 Month
3,670.65
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 6, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1651 | 0.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7529 | 50.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1572 | -0.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.9973 | 0.40 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1264 | 0.40 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8736 | 19.36*** |
Persistence:
0.839
Half-life:
4 days
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