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Nippon Shindo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2,835.48

decreased by 348.15

1 Week

2,931.22

decreased by 252.41

1 Month

2,751.06

decreased by 432.57

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Nippon Shindo Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 97% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
6.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0764
23.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8864
519.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0744
14.22***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days