Japan Reliance Service Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
565.54
1 Week
516.48
1 Month
857.28
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:47 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2228 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6687 | 13.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1737 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.7858 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2088 | 0.11 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7912 | 2.45** |
Persistence:
0.805
Half-life:
3 days
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