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Hep Tech Co. Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

17,679.98

increased by 14,399.95

1 Week

6,251.56

increased by 2,971.53

1 Month

6,827.80

increased by 3,547.77

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of Hep Tech Co. Ltd. ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2008 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4597
12.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7194
86.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3582
-5.94***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

180,686.2000

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days