Powertech Industrial Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
6,496.36
1 Week
7,183.49
1 Month
5,683.40
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 1, 2004 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1161 trading days (~4.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1834 | 9.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8241 | 304.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0162 | -0.50 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 8.13*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9999 | 3,496.30*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1161 days
Other Powertech Industrial Co Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities