Powertech Industrial Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
5,909.97
decreased by 117.75
1 Week
6,012.02
decreased by 15.70
1 Month
6,165.06
increased by 137.34
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 1, 2004 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 225 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 356% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6881 | 1.93* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0079 | 4.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9748 | 272.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0283 | 5.52*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
225 days
Other Powertech Industrial Co Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities