Daewon Sanup Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
216.65
1 Week
198.90
1 Month
146.11
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1666 | 0.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7706 | 16.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1666 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.5767 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9986 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0014 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.854
Half-life:
4 days
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