V-Lab
Daewon Sanup Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
210.11
1 Week
204.51
1 Month
168.38
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 01:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1653 | 5.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7721 | 33.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1653 | -3.24*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.6630 | 0.61 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9986 | 7.16*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0014 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.855
Half-life:
4 days
Other Daewon Sanup Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities