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Daewon Sanup Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

268.47

decreased by 25.85

1 Week

273.88

decreased by 20.44

1 Month

237.91

decreased by 56.41

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 12:51 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daewon Sanup Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1552
1.15
αARCH0.1316
3.14***
βGARCH0.8653
33.63***
γleverage0.0062
0.07

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1552
1.15
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1316
3.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8653
33.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0062
0.07

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days