V-Lab
Virgo Global Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
63.08%
decreased by 4.29%
1 Week
61.96%
decreased by 5.41%
1 Month
58.30%
decreased by 9.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3109 | 4.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1695 | 20.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7998 | 60.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0145 | -1.40 |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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