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V-Lab

Virgo Global Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

63.08%

decreased by 4.29%

1 Week

61.96%

decreased by 5.41%

1 Month

58.30%

decreased by 9.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Virgo Global Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3109
4.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1695
20.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7998
60.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0145
-1.40

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days