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Square Textiles PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

26.85%

increased by 5.98%

1 Week

27.49%

increased by 6.62%

1 Month

29.89%

increased by 9.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Square Textiles PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2002 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 229 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~229 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0784
2.82***
αARCH0.1660
3.70***
βGARCH0.8504
50.28***
γleverage-0.0389
-0.52

0.997

Persistence

229d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0784
2.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1660
3.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8504
50.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0389
-0.52

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

229 days