S&P GSCI Petroleum Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
51.16%
decreased by 2.29%
1 Week
50.59%
decreased by 2.86%
1 Month
48.85%
decreased by 4.60%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 0.0512 | 17.69 | |
| 0.9001 | 287.39 | |
| 0.0420 | 12.52 | |
| 0.0204 | 9.69 | |
| 0.0353 | 11.50 | |
| 0.9601 | 270.15 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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