V-Lab
Silex Systems Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
56.67%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Week
58.81%
increased by 0.46%
1 Month
65.01%
increased by 6.66%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0073 | 13.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1125 | 13.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8550 | 110.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0132 | -1.42 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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