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V-Lab

Silex Systems Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

56.67%

decreased by 1.68%

1 Week

58.81%

increased by 0.46%

1 Month

65.01%

increased by 6.66%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Silex Systems Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0073
13.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1125
13.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8550
110.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0132
-1.42

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days