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V-Lab

Silex Systems Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

51.56%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Week

53.88%

increased by 0.28%

1 Month

60.28%

increased by 6.68%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Silex Systems Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.94 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.6074
7.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1063
23.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9540
142.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9424
10.57***

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days