V-Lab
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
39.04%
1 Week
41.74%
1 Month
44.29%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 26, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 30% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1459 | 27.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6400 | 51.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0338 | -4.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.6508 | 0.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5307 | 0.15 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.769
Half-life:
3 days
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